Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.029519 0.035055 0.040826 0.047251 0.054166 0.061354 0.069355
2025-11-16 0.019194 0.026693 0.035092 0.045002 0.056202 0.068323 0.082297
2025-11-23 0.012827 0.021056 0.030944 0.043215 0.057635 0.073714 0.092708
2025-11-30 0.009561 0.018323 0.029516 0.043970 0.061444 0.081339 0.105225
2025-12-07 0.007340 0.016429 0.028727 0.045158 0.065485 0.089008 0.117596
2025-12-14 0.005921 0.015336 0.028736 0.047147 0.070336 0.097501 0.130813
2025-12-21 0.004433 0.013780 0.027890 0.047868 0.073504 0.103906 0.141522
2025-12-28 0.004119 0.014102 0.029625 0.051918 0.080766 0.115167 0.157898
2026-01-04 0.002597 0.011819 0.027356 0.050483 0.081035 0.117946 0.164221
2026-01-11 0.001877 0.010851 0.026911 0.051413 0.084222 0.124196 0.174602
2026-01-18 0.001224 0.009734 0.026095 0.051735 0.086563 0.129365 0.183658
2026-01-25 0.000751 0.008784 0.025426 0.052183 0.089010 0.134623 0.192787
2026-02-01 0.000331 0.007596 0.024297 0.052028 0.090803 0.139276 0.201466
2026-02-08 0.000033 0.005882 0.021964 0.049957 0.089972 0.140622 0.206139
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004478 0.019905 0.048119 0.089335 0.142130 0.210946
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003978 0.019586 0.048925 0.092276 0.148147 0.221256
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003645 0.019570 0.050182 0.095823 0.154928 0.232500
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003548 0.020081 0.052283 0.100545 0.163214 0.245606
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003148 0.019792 0.053044 0.103372 0.169055 0.255682
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003574 0.021611 0.057312 0.111156 0.181299 0.273703
2026-03-29 NaN 0.002710 0.019992 0.055801 0.110737 0.182930 0.278549
2026-04-05 NaN 0.002440 0.019874 0.056780 0.113835 0.189102 0.289028
2026-04-12 NaN 0.002079 0.019403 0.057119 0.115997 0.194045 0.297967